Causal Thinking
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Chapter 2 - EGM
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Welcome to the Causal Thinking (science of cause and effect) page
Levels of causation
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- Association
- Detecting regularities in our environment
- Intervention
- Predicting the effect(s) of deliberate alterations of the environment and choosing among these alterations to produce a desired outcome.
- Counterfactuals
- A “theory” of why it works and what to do when it doesn’t.
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Types of junctions
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Three junctions - Mediator (chain), Confounder (fork), and Collider - are the steps from patterns to principles. Through them we can see the secrets of the causal process we observe. Each junction stands for a distinct pattern of causal flow and leaves its mark in the form of conditional dependence and independence.
| Sources |
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| The Book of Why - J. Pearl & D. Mackenzie - Basic Books - 2018 |
| Een wereld vol patronen - R. Bods - Prometheus - 2019 |
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