The science of cause and effect
Levels of causation
- Detecting regularities in our environment
- Predicting the effect(s) of deliberate alterations of the environment and choosing among these alterations to produce a desired outcome.
- A “theory” of why it works and what to do when it doesn’t.
Types of junctions
Three junctions - Mediator (chain), Confounder (fork), and Collider - are the steps from patterns to principles. Through them we can see the secrets of the causal process we observe. Each junction stands for a distinct pattern of causal flow and leaves its mark in the form of conditional dependence and independence.
|The Book of Why - J. Pearl & D. Mackenzie - Basic Books - 2018|
|Een wereld vol patronen - R. Bods - Prometheus - 2019|