Leadership paradoxes
Chapter 6 - Leading into the future
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Welcome to the Leadership paradoxes page
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A paradox is a concept or statement that unites or contradicts conflicting ideas and yet may be true. We also call it an apparent contradiction.
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Core ideas
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Etymology.
The word paradox is derived from the Greek “paradoxos” which is composed of the words “para” or “opposite” and “doxa” or “opinion”. A paradox is thus an “apparent contradiction”.
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Thinking about the concept
A visual thesaurus search is always an excellent starting point to discuss a concept definition:
PARADOX |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/paradox |
CONTRADICTION |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/contradiction |
INCONSISTENCY |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/inconsistency |
VARIANCE |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/variance |
CONCORD |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/concord |
HARMONY |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/harmony |
BALANCE |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/balance |
STABILITY |
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https://www.freethesaurus.com/stability |
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What is an oxymoron?
An oxymoron is a special kind of paradox that combines two words that contradict each other in a literal sense but fit in a figurative sense. It is an important figure of speech in literature. Examples of an oxymoron: Organised chaos, adult child.
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Some leadership paradoxes
- Complexity leadership should be often more decisive AND more accepting of uncertainty and ambiguity
- Our systems incentivise leaders who have the answers and promise us some future outcomes with a degree of certainty. But we should instead be inspired by the values that they stand by, while it is hard to make promises about specific future outcomes that nobody can know about. Leaders can still commit to radical learning in conditions of ambiguity
- We need more specialised knowledge in specific fields AND more generalists
- We need them desperately while also need to bridge across contexts and tend to the interrelationships between ideas, departments, and worldviews
- Complexity is challenging, AND it is easier at the same time
- Yes, complexity seems like a complicated subject to deal with, and yet as long as we drop some of our inadequate tools, it can actually appear easier - but it still needs much rigour.
- We are hopelessly biased in our perception of complexity, AND we have ancient, built-in ways to deal with it
- It is easy to mistake being "biased" for being hopeless in the face of uncertainty. It turns out that ancient wisdom, time-tested heuristics, and grandma sayings are very robust in the face of the unknown.
- We need a clear vision of the future, AND we need adaptability and flexibility for a lot we cannot predict
- We need to rely more on rigorous scientific approaches, AND we need to recognise irreducible causal opacity
- We need centralised sense-making about certain key variables and weak signals, AND we need to distribute the capacity to make sense and decide locally
- We need more, better coherence, AND we need to acknowledge the generative importance of lack of coherence
- We need better ways of aligning our sense of coherence around certain hypotheses about what is going on in the system at any given time. At the same time, we need to take the opportunity that lies in the moments of confusion: they can be times of proving us wrong, of innovation in the scientific field
- We need to rely on sound models more AND less at the same time. It is hard to make sense of this
- Still, models are more critical in complexity to project potential scenarios. We need to bring more epistemic humility to their predictive powers as well. Use them for exploring the space of possibilities without taking any of them as the final 'truth' (unless they have a track record of sound predictions or a controllable environment).
- We need more experimentation at the edges, AND we need rigorous hypothesis testing alongside our experimental approach
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Deep Dive
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Dimensions
3 Dimensions each with two directions
Autonomy | <> | Participation |
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Connectedness | <> | Coherence |
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Competences | <> | Relevance |
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Trust and responsibility
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Self Determination Theory is the postulate that humans are active, growth-oriented organisms who are naturally inclined toward integration of their psychic elements into a unified sense of self and integration of themselves into larger social structures. As such, the natural processes such as intrinsic motivation, integration of extrinsic regulations, and movement toward well-being are theorized to operate optimally only to the extent that the nutriments are immediately present, or, alternatively, to the extent that the individual has sufficient inner resources to find or construct the necessary nourishment. Such processes would include, for example, the capacity to compartmentalize rather than integrate psychological structures, the tendency to withdraw concern for others and focus on oneself, or, in more extreme cases, to engage in psychological withdrawal or antisocial activity as compensatory motives for unfulfilled needs. (1) |
Accordingly, innate psychological needs for
concern the deep structure of the human psyche, for they refer to innate and life-span tendencies toward
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Content source | |
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(1) | The “What” and “Why” of Goal Pursuits: Human Needs and the Self-Determination of Behavior - Edward L. Deci and Richard M. Ryan - Department of Psychology – University of Rochester |
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Defining trust
When do you trust your baker? More precise, when do you react on the proposition "am I your trusted bakery"?
- If he/she does not sell from a third party (cold baker): autonomy
- If he/she is friendly in the store: connectedness
- If he/she bakes delicious bread: competences
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Defining resposibility
When/how do you show responsibility as a baker?
- If you actually participate in the action at the bakery
- If you show coherent behaviour in the action at the bakery
- If your behaviour is relevant to the situation
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The trust paradox
Many leaders think they have to 'give' trust: “I give you my trust to do this or that”. This is unfortunately a paradoxical error.
You can only ask for trust.
We are well aware of this at administrative level, where the government asks parliament for confidence. Parliament then hands over responsibility for implementation to the government.
This is also true in business. Leaders must earn the trust of employees ("be their preferred baker") and can do this by giving responsibility to thier employees.
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The 'Abilene Paradox'
On a hot summer day in a small town in west Texas, a family is sitting on a porch, enjoying some fresh cold tea, when the grandfather suggests they all take a ride to Abilene for dinner.
The family's father feels it’s a bad idea but is afraid to offer his opinion, so he foolishly says, “Sounds like a great idea to me.” Then everyone else chimes in with their enthusiasm for the drive, and before long, they are on the dirt highway headed for supper. When they return after a long, hot ride and some horrible food, the mother-in-law says, “That wasn’t a great trip.” Then her daughter adds, “I just went along because I wanted to keep the group happy.” The husband, who first supported the idea, says he only went because he didn’t want to disappoint anyone.
That little tale is known as the Abilene Paradox, first introduced by management expert Jerry B. Harvey in 1974. The paradox involves a common breakdown of group communication in which each member mistakenly believes that his/her preferences run counter to the group's. Therefore, they do not raise any objections. A common phrase relating to the Abilene Paradox is a desire to not "rock the boat." It differs from “groupthink” because the Abilene Paradox is characterized by an inability to manage agreement.
December is a time for a change in the leadership world, and we’ll likely see the Abilene Paradox occur frequently. Many university and professional sports teams will discuss how they want to avoid groupthink and find their next coach by canvassing the country looking for the best possible candidate. A lot of people will go along with the plan. But no one will mention the Abilene Paradox until after.
Much like that family traveling to their dinner, the truth only comes out when the bad results become obvious. Why? Well, because we have a hard time speaking our true feelings in the moment out of fear they could come across as disloyal or confrontational. And being loyal is often considered more important than speaking our inner feelings. We’re supposedly not to rock the boat during critical times — we must play nice and go along with the plan, thus playing right into the Abilene Paradox.
The best way to ensure we avoid this is to insist on honesty from all. To encourage rocking the boat, consider hiring some boat-rockers from outside to ensure the “real truth is uncovered.” Let everyone understand that even if they don’t support the hire, their voices must be heard. Remember, it’s O.K. not to have everyone on the same page. It means we have avoided groupthink and, even more importantly, we’ve avoided the Abilene Paradox.
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Javons Paradox
Comming soon
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